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Rob Wood, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said that the shock wave raises the possibility of an interest rate hike.
September was at the peak of this kind of pot, and it started to be weaker than the monetary committee (MPC) and we expected. 3.8% The power is acceptable for the MPC, almost double the target, and we expect a way up to 2% to happen.
Some issues mean that we should be careful with this release. The CPI was taken late, on September 16, compared to the date of September. The combination of biblertiction remains close to 4% and research shows that it will remain there until the fall. Erratic movements in other assets, and the surprise in rents that the MPC is looking at, will explain others about difficulties.
But the wolves do not fail to pass Dovish's final story. So the five pigeons in the committee will be gone. The rate cut by December looks now. We assume that the MPC will skip November with the rate of growth and show that they can afford to wait – and the November 26th session that appears to be waiting. We'll fill in more details today, but our first step is to bring our price jump from February to December. We're not throwing in the towel on our favorite things at Hawkish, as we say we think flying can be addictive. But doves on the MPC will want to lower prices if they can.
Financial markets are predicting that the next interest rate hike will come sooner than before.
Another reduction is now the total price in February, compared to the month of inffictures, according to the interest rate.
Markets are also expecting more change next year than before, with the Bank of England's 64-month benchmark rate cutting 57 BPS ahead of the release.
Some economists say this is probably a big secret. What does this mean for interest rates?
Paul Daleschief financial officer at Capital Financessaid:
CPI inflation was lower than feared in September, as it stood at 3.8% instead of 4.0% or above. We doubt that this will prompt the Bank of England to cut interest rates from 4% in November. But it increases the chance of a February cut in line with what we are talking about and helps us see if the interest rate will be reduced by 3% next year.
More than that, this might be a big deal. Our forecast is for CPI inflation to fall to 3.5% or lower in October, not least because of the reduction in subsidies and oil prices that we already know. The food mix may rise, perhaps starting at 5.0% by December, but there are … good reasons to expect it to fall next year.
And if we think that the weak job will show the best salary year next year, then CPI inflation can surprise many people by reaching 2.0% by the end of next year.
Turning to the budget, Dales said:
It is possible that the additional opportunity will also increase what happens on November 26, even if it is more disruptive (cutting vat from 5% to 0,2pts) or directly if higher taxes are about to happen in the economy.
Gasoline and airline prices fell last month, but not nearly as much as a year earlier.
The average price of petrol fell by 0.2Pa a liter between August and September to 134p a liter in September, but prices have ended the year by 5.5Pakulu. Diesel prices ranged from 0.4Pa per liter to 141.8A per liter.
Air fares fell by 28.8% in mid-August, the third lowest since September for the airline sector.
This translates into an increase in annual inflation to 3.8% from 2.4%.
This was offset by lower prices for leisure activities, especially music concerts, where monthly prices fell by 8.6% compared to flights 5.8% the previous year. Overall, the annual spread is 2.7% from 3.2%.
Here's our full story:
Breaking News: UK inflation remains at 3.8% as food prices slow for first time since March
Good morning, and welcome to our transit business, financial markets and the world at large.
The UK economy was volatile last month, undermining expectations of a 4% rise, with food prices leading to a decline.
The higher the rate of increase, the more likely it will be used Reading for Augustaccording to the office of national statistics.
The maximum capacity is almost doubled for the Bank of England double, and has been achieved for 12 months in a row.
The overall rate of inflation, which excludes fixed food and energy costs, dipped to 3.5% from 3.6% in August.
This is good news for the future, Rachel begins. He said last week he will announce it “Multiple Policies” In his price of 26 November to “do some money that people face”.
Importantly, prices of packaged food are 0.2% in September from August Discounts at supermarkets of 4.5%, from 5.1% in August.
It was the first time since last year that it had fallen on the moon; And the first time since March this year that the annual price has been delayed.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3.8% in the 12 months to September 2025, unchanged from August 2025.
The September, August and July 2025 figures have been recorded since January 2024, when the rate was 4.0%.
Read this article ➡️ https://t.co/mkzbef7kcc Pic.Twitter.com/sq6Mucg11
– National statistics office (mat) (@nso) August 22, 2025
Commenting on Septures for September 2025, on the Wealth of Nations Chumatner said: (word 1) 💬 Pic.twitter.com/ve9bmufbuw
– National statistics office (mat) (@nso) August 22, 2025
Gold was up 0.5% at $4,145 this morning after falling one day.
The precious metal slipped more than 5% on Tuesday, as a multi-week record was reversed at the end of the diwali shopping season. Gold fell to $4,003.39.
Alex hillManaging Director at Electous Federan in Auckland, told Reuters:
Which goes down. You have had a market that has gone to the top, for some things it will get relief.
Citi analysts wrote in a research note:
Gold had advanced on a weak issue. We had reduced the trees so that the trees were stretched along the edge of the art and it reduced our responsibility.
The Agenda
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9.30am BSt: UK rates
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NOON BST: US MBA Home Notes
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1.25pm BSt: ECB President Christine Laarde
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3.30pm BSt: US Ea Lea Shares change
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7pm BSt: Consquet ColdQuet online home and talk
